Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat - 1/12/23 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat (22-20) vs Milwaukee Bucks (26-14)

Game Info: Thursday, January 12, 2023 at 7:30 pm (FTX Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -2.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat duke it out at the FTX Arena on Thursday night in NBA action.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in fine form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after beating the Hawks in a 114-105 road win last night. Jrue Holiday led the way with 27 points and five assists, Brook Lopez added 20 points with 12 rebounds and two blocks while Bobby Portis chipped in with 13 points and 10 rebounds off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot 45 percent from the field and 18 of 48 from the 3-point line as they squandered an early 24-point lead, before going on a decisive 8-0 run in the fourth quarter to pull away and avoid an embarrassing loss in the end.  

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in great shape as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall and they will be aiming to stay hot after sneaking past the Thunder in a thrilling 112-111 home win on Tuesday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 35 points, seven rebounds, four assists, four steals and three blocks, Max Strus added 22 points while Victor Oladipo chipped in with a crucial 19 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot just 39 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line as they poured in 63 points in the first half to build a nine-point lead, but after the Thunder rallied all the way back to take the lead, the Heat went to Butler who drained the game-winning free throw to carry the Heat over the line in a tight finish.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero days’ rest. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600.

Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings overall and the under is 22-9-1 in the last 32 meetings in Miami.

The Bucks are shorthanded again as Khris Middleton and Serge Ibaka are both out, while the Heat have listed Tyler Herro and Kyle Lowry as out. The Bucks went through a rough patch when the injuries started to pile up, but they’re starting to heat up again and they looked great in their hard-fought win over the Hawks last night. The Heat have continued to climb the standings despite having the longest injury report in the league and they would’ve taken so much confidence from their thrilling win over the Thunder on Tuesday. This is the first meeting between these teams this season, so both teams will want to make a statement, but the Bucks are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and they are playing their second game of a back to back set, so I’ll lean towards the Heat to get the job done at home in this spot.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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