Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets - 12/30/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Denver Nuggets (22-12) vs Miami Heat (18-17)

Game Info: Friday, December 30, 2022 at 9:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -4.5 -- Over/Under: 223.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets meet Friday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. The Miami Heat have won 6 of their last 8 games. The Denver Nuggets have won 7 of their last 9 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 108.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21 points and 5.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.7 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116.2 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 114.2 points on 48.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.7 points and 10.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.3 points and 3.9 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Michael Porter Jr. is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

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The Heat are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win and 4-15-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win. The Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 overall. The under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 overall. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver and 9-23 ATS in the last 32 meetings.

The Miami Heat are playing their best ball of the season, and there should be some confidence in that locker room right now. However, the Heat still have some showing and proving to do on the road and against quality teams. The Denver Nuggets are one of the better home teams in the league, where they win by an average of 9.3 points and shoot 51.4 percent from the field. I need to see more from the Heat. Give me the Nuggets and the reasonable chalk.

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Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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