Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks - 12/29/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (19-16) vs Houston Rockets (10-24)

Game Info: Thursday, December 29, 2022 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -11 -- Over/Under: 223 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. The Houston Rockets have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The Dallas Mavericks have won 4 straight games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 109.4 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 115.3 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.3 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 18.7 points and 5.4 rebounds. Alperen Sengun is the third double-digit scorer and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 111.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.5 points on 48 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 32.8 points and 8.7 assists, while Christian Wood is averaging 17.3 points and 8 rebounds. Spencer Dinwiddie is the third double-digit scorer and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.8 rebounds per game.

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The Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Mavericks are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 home games and 9-20-2 ATS in their last 31 games overall. The over is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 Thursday games. The over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 home games. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

The Dallas Mavericks could be in a bit of a letdown spot after their historic comeback over the Knicks and the historic triple double from Luka. Also, while the Mavs are the better team here, they don't comfortably win most nights, and they're only winning in the favorite role by an average of 4.3 points. This is a ton of points. I'll take a shot with the Houston Rockets and the free buckets.

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Randy’s Pick Houston Rockets +11

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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