Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat - 12/23/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat (16-16) vs Indiana Pacers (16-16)

Game Info: Friday, December 23, 2022 at 8:00 pm (FTX Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -6.5 -- Over/Under: 226.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Bally Sports Sun, Bally Sports Indiana Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat meet Friday in NBA action at the FTX Arena. The Indiana Pacers have lost 5 of their last 8 games. The Miami Heat have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 114.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 47 percent shooting. Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 19.7 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 18 points and 4.1 rebounds. Buddy Hield is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.9 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 108.1 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.9 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.2 points and 6.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game.

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The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The Heat are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 road games. The under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 overall. The under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

The Miami Heat are the better team and should be favored at home, but every game they play either results in a heartbreaking loss or a close game against subpar competition. The Heat don't have a lot of comfortable wins this season, and they actually lose at home by an average of 0.5 points. Laying decent sized chalk with the Heat isn't something I'm trying to do. It's the Pacers and the points or pass for me. 

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Randy’s Pick Indiana Pacers +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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