Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks - 5/22/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks - 5/22/22 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (60-37) vs Golden State Warriors (63-32)

Game Info: Sunday, May 22, 2022 at 9:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -2 -- Over/Under: 218.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday in game 3 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the American Airlines Center. The Golden State Warriors can all but end things with a win here and a 3-0 series lead. The Dallas Mavericks need a win here to cut the series deficit to 1-2.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.9 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 26.8 points and 5.5 assists, while Klay Thompson is averaging 19.5 points and 4.5 rebounds. Jordan Poole is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 105.7 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 104.2 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 31.4 points and 6.5 assists, while Jalen Brunson is averaging 22.9 points and 4.7 rebounds. Spencer Dinwiddie is the third double-digit scorer and Reggie Bullock is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.3 rebounds per game.

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The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games. The Mavericks are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games. The under is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 overall. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Dallas and 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

This is the biggest total we've seen in this series up to this point, and it's weird because the Mavs are much better defensively at home. At home, in these playoffs, the Mavericks hold teams to 93.5 points on 43.1 percent shooting from the field and 32.2 percent shooting from deep. Compare that to the 111.3 points on 50.2 percent shooting from the field and 36.5 percent shooting from deep. The Mavs have been a completely different team defensively at home, and it's why they've had so much success in these playoffs overall. Expect a slower paced game. Give me the under.

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Randy’s Pick Under 218.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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