Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns - 5/15/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Phoenix Suns (71-23) vs Dallas Mavericks (59-35)

Game Info: Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Footprint Center)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -6 -- Over/Under: 207 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns meet Sunday in Game 7 of the NBA Playoffs at the Footprint Center. The Dallas Mavericks look to make the conference finals for the first time since 2010-11, the year they won the NBA Finals. The Phoenix Suns look for back-to-back conference final appearances. 

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 104.8 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 102.9 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 31.1 points and 6.9 assists, while Jalen Brunson is averaging 22.8 points and 4.5 rebounds. Dorian Finney-Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Spencer Dinwiddie is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 109.1 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 107.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 24.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Deandre Ayton is averaging 19 points and 9.3 rebounds. Chris Paul is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.9 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.

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The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 overall. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix and 7-18 ATS in the last 25 meetings.

The Phoenix Suns should have a considerable edge because they've been the better team all season, and the home team has dominated every game in this series. The home team has won and covered every game. The Dallas Mavericks role players don't shoot the same on the road and the defense slips drastically. However, both teams have had a few days off to rest and the Mavericks do have the best player in this series. For one game, we could easily see Luka put this club on his back and have a chance to steal it late in the fourth quarter. This is a dangerous game for the Suns. I want the points.

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Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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