Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks - 5/12/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (58-35) vs Phoenix Suns (71-22)

Game Info: Thursday, May 12, 2022 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +2 -- Over/Under: 212 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in Game 6 of the NBA Playoffs at the American Airlines Center. The Phoenix Suns will make back-to-back conference finals trips with a win here. The Dallas Mavericks need a win to save their season and force a game 7 on Sunday.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 111.2 points on 51.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.4 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Deandre Ayton is averaging 18.8 points and 9.2 rebounds. Chris Paul is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.8 rebounds per game.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 104.1 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 104.5 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 30.9 points and 6.8 assists, while Jalen Brunson is averaging 23.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. Dorian Finney-Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Spencer Dinwiddie is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.2 rebounds per game.

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The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Suns last 8 games as a favorite. The under is 6-2 in Mavericks last 8 overall. The Suns are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Dallas and 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

The road team has comfortably been in control of every game this series, and the Mavs play their best ball at home throughout these playoffs. At home, the Mavs are allowing 43.8 percent shooting from the field and 32.1 percent shooting from deep. On the road, the Mavs are allowing 50.4 percent shooting from the field and 35 percent shooting from deep. The Mavericks also get better play from their role players at home, as Finney-Smith and others show more life on the offensive side. I'll ride the home trends and grab the free bucket with the Mavericks.

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Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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