Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns - 5/10/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Phoenix Suns (70-22) vs Dallas Mavericks (58-34)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 10, 2022 at 10:00 pm (Footprint Center)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -6 -- Over/Under: 213 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns meet Tuesday in Game 5 of the NBA Playoffs at the Footprint Center. The Dallas Mavericks look for a third straight win to take a 3-2 series lead. The Phoenix Suns look to keep the trend of the home team winning every game to take a 3-2 lead.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.5 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 31.3 points and 7.4 assists, while Jalen Brunson is averaging 23.5 points and 4.6 rebounds. Dorian Finney-Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Spencer Dinwiddie is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 111.3 points on 51.9 percent shooting and allowing 109.6 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Chris Paul is averaging 19.8 points and 4.9 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.8 rebounds per game.

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The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The under is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 overall. The over is 6-2 in Suns last 8 games as a favorite. The Mavericks are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Phoenix and 6-17 ATS in the last 23 meetings.

The home team has comfortably won and covered all four meetings this series, and the Phoenix Suns win at home by an average of 8.8 points, so you can understand why this line is what it is. However, the Dallas Mavericks have found something where they slow the game down, get after it defensively and have Luka bully his way in the paint instead of settling for so many jumpers. The first two games, the Mavs tried to outscore the Suns, and it led to Phoenix pushing the pace and topping 120 points. The Mavericks played with a different tempo the last two games and while you can't have as much confidence in their role players on the road, I do think this series is closer to a toss up at this point than anything else. Give me the points.

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Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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