Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks - 5/6/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks - 5/6/22 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (56-34) vs Phoenix Suns (70-20)

Game Info: Friday, May 6, 2022 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks PK -- Over/Under: 220 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in Game 3 of the NBA Playoffs at the American Airlines Center. The Phoenix Suns look to all but end this series with a win and 3-0 lead. The Dallas Mavericks need a win here to cut the series deficit to 1-2.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.8 points on 53.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 24.4 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Chris Paul is averaging 22.6 points and 4.6 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 83.5 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.4 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 105.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 33.4 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Brunson is averaging 23.6 points and 4.8 rebounds. Spencer Dinwiddie is the third double-digit scorer and Dorian Finney-Smith is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.

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The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 overall. The under is 48-20-1 in Mavericks last 69 home games. The Suns are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Dallas and 23-8 ATS in the last 31 meetings.

Usually, if a team is going to make something of a series when down 0-2, they come back home and win game three. The Dallas Mavericks win at home by an average of 6.4 points, and they hung around on the road in both games. The issue is that the Mavs have run out of gas in both games, and you can see the frustration on Luka's face throughout the game, as he's just not getting consistent help. Luka is going to get his, but the Phoenix Suns have too much depth and eventually take control of the game late. There's value with the Suns in this pick em game, especially when they've won 11 straight games against the Mavericks. The Mavs haven't beat the Suns since November 2019.

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Randy’s Pick Phoenix Suns PK

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/16/22 | Ron's Rundown

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