Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz - 4/28/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Utah Jazz (51-36) vs Dallas Mavericks (55-32)

Game Info: Thursday, April 28, 2022 at 10:00 pm (Vivint Arena)

Betting Odds: Utah Jazz -1 -- Over/Under: 209 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz meet Thursday in Game 6 of the NBA Playoffs at the Vivint Arena. The Dallas Mavericks look to make the second round of the playoffs for the first time since 2010-11. The Utah Jazz look to save their season and force a game 7 on Saturday.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 99.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 31.5 points and 4.5 assists, while Jalen Brunson is averaging 28.6 points and 5.2 rebounds. Spencer Dinwiddie is the third double-digit scorer and Dorian Finney-Smith is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 27.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.

The Utah Jazz are averaging 99.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 106 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 26 points and 5 assists, while Jordan Clarkson is averaging 18 points and 2.6 rebounds. Bojan Bogdanovic is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 13.4 rebounds. The Utah Jazz are shooting 27.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Jazz are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 18-38-4 ATS in their last 60 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games. The under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 overall. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Utah Jazz have issues offensively and the hamstring injury to Mitchell isn't encouraging, but this total seems very low given the numbers we're used to seeing in these playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks have also seen the over hit in eight of their last 11 games. The Jazz are also usually better at home, where they average 116.4 points on 48 percent shooting from the field. I'll take my chances with the over, even if the Jazz have issues scoring. This total is just really low.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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