Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors - 4/16/22 NBA Picks and Prediction

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors - 4/16/22 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Golden State Warriors (53-29) vs Denver Nuggets (48-34)

Game Info: Saturday, April 16, 2022 at 8:30 pm (Chase Center)

Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors -6.5 -- Over/Under: 223 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors meet Saturday in Game 1 of the NBA Playoffs at the Chase Center. The Denver Nuggets look for a win after winning five of their last eight games. The Golden State Warriors look to build on their five-game winning streak.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 112.7 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.4 points on 47 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.1 points and 13.8 rebounds, while Aaron Gordon is averaging 15 points and 5.9 rebounds. Will Barton is the third double-digit scorer and Monte Morris is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 111 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 105.5 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 25.5 points and 6.3 assists, while Klay Thompson is averaging 20.4 points and 3.9 rebounds. Jordan Poole is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.

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The Nuggets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 overall. The under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 overall. The Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Golden State and 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

The Golden State Warriors are going to be favored for obvious reasons as Curry has already been cleared to play, and they win at home by an average of 9.9 points. However, the Denver Nuggets are far from pushovers, and they've actually won three of the last four meetings against the Warriors. The Nuggets do a good job of controlling the pace in these games, and they've proven themselves on the road, where they win by an average of 2.2 points. The Nuggets only lose by an average of three points in the underdog role. This should be a very competitive series. Give me the Nuggets and the points.

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Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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