Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks - 12/4/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks - 12/4/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks (14-9) vs Miami Heat (13-9)

Game Info: Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Heat and the Milwaukee Bucks do battle at the Fiserv Forum on Saturday night.

The Miami Heat have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last seven games, but they will be looking to build some momentum after last night’s 113-104 road win over the Pacers. Kyle Lowry drained six 3-pointers to lead the team with 26 points and nine assists on nine of 18 shooting, Duncan Robinson added 24 points while Tyler Herro chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Heat shot 53 percent from the field and 16 of 34 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running and poured in 32 points in the first quarter to take the early lead which only grew as the game wore on. The Heat were aggressive on the defensive end and they got quality production from their bench as Gabe Vincent and Omer Yurtseven each scored 12 points.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been on fire as they were riding an eight-game win streak before getting stopped in their tracks by the Raptors in a 97-93 road loss on Thursday. Jrue Holiday led the team with 26 points and eight assists, Khris Middleton added 22 points while Bobby Portis chipped in with 15 points and 11 rebounds. As a team, the Bucks shot just 37 percent from the field and 11 of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled to find their rhythm on offense and scored just 17 points in the second quarter to trail by as many as 11 points, before coming up just short after cutting the deficit to just two points at three different times in the fourth quarter.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on zero days’ rest, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team with a winning road record.

The Heat wanted to bounce back after getting routed by the cavaliers on Wednesday and they did that with a solid road win over the Pacers last night, but they will be shorthanded once again as Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo are both out. The Bucks have been in great shape, but they have some injury concerns of their own as Antetokounmpo is listed as doubtful with a calf strain. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on zero days’ rest and I think they can do enough to hang around and get the cover against the shorthanded Bucks in this spot.


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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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