Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons - 11/23/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons - 11/23/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Pistons (4-12) vs Miami Heat (11-6)

Game Info: Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Pistons +9.5 -- Over/Under: 205.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Heat pay a visit to the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday night.

The Miami Heat have been in great shape, but they will be eager to bounce back in this one after having their four-game win streak halted by the Wizards in a 103-100 road loss on Saturday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 29 points on 11 of 19 shooting, Tyler Herro added 20 points off the bench, Bam Adebayo scored 15 points while PJ Tucker chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and seven of 27 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control after leading by as many as 16 points midway through the third quarter, but they couldn’t make a single 3-pointer in the fourth quarter, and it ultimately cost them as the Wizards ran them down to steal the game late.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in rough shape so far this season as they’ve lost 12 of their first 16 games and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short to the Lakers in a 121-116 home loss on Sunday. Jerami Grant led the team with 36 points on 12 of 25 shooting, Hamidou Diallo added 17 points on seven of nine shooting off the bench while Frank Jackson chipped in with 15 points and three blocks. As a team, the Pistons shot 44 percent from the field and 14 of 40 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 42 points in the second quarter to build a 17-point lead, before coming up just short in the fourth quarter where the Lakers outscored them by 37-17 as Russell Westbrook and Anthony Davis ran riot.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a losing record, 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on two days’ rest and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Pistons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

Head to head, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings overall and the Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall.

Duncan Robinson is questionable with a knee injury, so the Heat could be shorthanded for this one, but that’s nothing new to a team that has dealt with injuries since opening night. The Pistons aren’t winning a bunch of games, but they’ve certainly looked much better in their last seven games as they’ve won three and their last two losses have been single-digit defeats to the Warriors and Lakers. The Heat are clearly the team in better form and I’m confident they will escape with the win here, but the Pistons have been punching above their weight recently and I think they can hang around long enough to keep this to single digits at home.

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Peter’s Pick Detroit +9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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