New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat - 11/17/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat - 11/17/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (9-5) vs New Orleans Pelicans (2-13)

Game Info: Wednesday, November 17, 2021 at 7:30 pm (FTX Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -8 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New Orleans Pelicans invade the FTX Arena to do battle with the Miami Heat on Wednesday night.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been in terrible shape as they’ve lost 13 of their first 15 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling just short to the Wizards in a 105-100 road loss on Monday. Brandon Ingram led the team with 31 points, five rebounds and four assists, Jonas Valanciunas added 16 points with nine rebounds and three assists while Devonte’ Graham chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Pelicans shot just 40 percent from the field and 11 of 21 from the 3-point line as they held the Wizards to just 16 points in the second quarter to take a 17-point lead into halftime, but they couldn’t keep up the pace and went ice-cold when it mattered most as they managed just eight points in the final 6:10 of the fourth quarter. Josh Hart had a quiet night as he scored just 13 points on three of 13 shooting while Nickeil Alexander-Walker scored just four points on one of six shooting.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in fine form as they’ve won nine of their first 14 games overall and they will be gunning for a third straight victory after outlasting the Thunder in a 103-90 road win on Monday. Tyler Herro led the team with 26 points, seven rebounds and six assists, Duncan Robinson drained five 3-pointers on his way to 21 points while Kyle Lowry chipped in with 11 points and 11 assists. As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 18 of 40 from the 3-point line as they took control of the game in the third quarter where they opened with a 21-9 run to take a 10-point lead, before going on another 8-1 run in the fourth quarter to push the margin out to 18 points.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, 0-5 ATS in their last five road games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a win of more than 10 points and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Head to head, the under is 6-0 in the last six meetings overall, the Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings overall and the Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Miami.

The Pelicans have been one of the worst teams in the league so far, but they were close against the Wizards on Monday and certainly look more dangerous with Ingram back in the lineup. The Heat are clearly the team in better form in this matchup, but they’ve got some injuries to deal with as Bam Adebayo is listed as questionable while Markieff Morris and Jimmy Butler are already ruled out. I’m not in love with the line, but I’m sticking with the shorthanded Heat to take care of business at home.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/9/22 | Ron's Rundown

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