Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder - 11/15/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder - 11/15/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma City Thunder (5-7) vs Miami Heat (8-5)

Game Info: Monday, November 15, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. The Miami Heat look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Oklahoma City Thunder look for a win after winning five of their last eight games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 110.6 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 23.6 points and 5.1 assists, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.1 points and 5.4 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.9 rebounds per game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 99.6 points on 41.1 percent shooting and allowing 106.4 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.5 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Luguentz Dort is averaging 14.9 points and 4.2 rebounds. Darius Bazley is the third double-digit scorer and Mike Muscala is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 30.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.8 rebounds per game.

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The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 overall. The under is 6-0 in Thunder last 6 overall. The Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Miami Heat are clearly the better team, and they have the rest advantage, but they may still be without Butler, and they only win by an average of 5.1 points in the favorite role. The Oklahoma City Thunder have improved their effort as of late, and they're winning their last five games by an average of 2.6 points. The Heat should be favored, and they should win, but it feels like we're getting a few extra points. Give me OKC at home.

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Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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