Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat - 10/21/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat - 10/21/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (0-0) vs Milwaukee Bucks (1-0)

Game Info: Thursday, October 21, 2021 at 8:00 pm (FTX Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +2 -- Over/Under: 224 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Thursday in NBA action at the FTX Arena. The Milwaukee Bucks look for a 2-0 start after beating the Nets in their season opener. The Miami Heat won 40 games last season and enter the 14th season under coach Erik Spoelstra.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 127 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 104 points on 44 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 32 points and 14 rebounds, while Khris Middleton is averaging 20 points and three assists. Pat Connaughton is the third double-digit scorer and Jordan Nwora is grabbing six rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 53.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 54 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat got swept in the first round of the playoffs and decided to shake things up by bringing in Kyle Lowry, PJ Tucker and Markieff Morris. The Heat said goodbye to Goran Dragic, Kendrick Nunn, Andre Iguodala and Precious Achiuwa, among others. The addition of Lowry gives the Heat the true point guard they’ve been missing for a while, and he should help unlock the potential of Bam Adebayo. It also takes pressure off Jimmy Butler to do everything on the offensive side. Tyler Herro has bulked up this off season and moves to his natural position of shooting guard, while Max Strus is expected to see an expended role. The Heat have a deep roster and are loaded with physical, defensive minded players. The Heat should break the spirit of a lot of teams this season.

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The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The under is 3-1-1 in Bucks last 5 overall. The over is 13-4 in Heat last 17 overall. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Milwaukee Bucks looked terrific in their season opener against the Nets, but now they have to go on the road, and they're running into a Heat team that has to view this as a revenge spot. The Heat were swept by the Bucks in last year's playoffs. The Miami Heat also made improvements to their roster with the addition of Lowry, and they looked incredible at full strength in the preseason. The Heat is a team to keep an eye on in the East this season. I'll grab the free bucket in a game Miami could every well win outright. 

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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