Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks - 7/20/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks - 7/20/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks (61-33) vs Phoenix Suns (65-28)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 9:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -5 -- Over/Under: 222 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Phoenix Suns and the Milwaukee Bucks meet in game six of the NBA finals in hoops action from the Fiserv Forum on Tuesday night.

The Phoenix Suns will be out to force a game seven after droping their third straight game to fall behind in the series 3-2 by a final score of 123-119 last time out. Devin Booker led the way with 40 points on 17 of 33 shooting with 3 assists while Chris Paul had 21 points on 9 of 15 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 11 assists for the double-double. DeAndre Ayton had 20 points with a team-high 10 rebounds for the double-double while Jae Corwder and Mikal Bridges each scored in double figures and had multiple threes to make up the scoring in double digits for the Suns in the loss. Devin Booker leads the Suns in scoring with 27.7 PPG in the playoffs while Chris Paul has 18.8 PPG and a team-high 8.7 APG. DeAndre Ayton’s averaging a double-double per game with 16 PPG and a team-high 12.1 RPG while Mikal Bridges and Jae Crowder are also averaging double figures in scoring per game, almost exactly how game five went. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 111.6 PPG on 50% shooting from the field, 40.8% from three and 86% from the foul line while allowing 113 PPG on 47% shooting from the field and 37.5% from three in the finals.

The Milwaukee Bucks will look to win the first NBA championship for the franchise since the 1960s after going up 3-2 and having a chance to close out this series at home. Giannis Antetokoumpo led the Bucks with 32 points along with a team-high 9 rebounds and 6 assists while Khris Middleton had 29 points on 12 of 23 shooting with 3 threes, 7 rebounds and 5 assists and Jrue Holiday chipped in 27 points on 12 of 20 shooting with 13 assists for a double-double. Pat Connaughton added 14 points with 4 threes to finish off the group of double-digit scorers for the Bucks in the win. Antetokoumpo leds the Bucks in scoring and rebounding, averaging a double-double per game with 29.2 PPG and 12.8 RPG with 5.3 APG while Khris Middleton is averaging 23.9 PPG with 7.7 RPG and 5.1 APG in the playoffs. Jrue Holiday has 17.6 PPG with a team-leading 8.5 APG and Brook Lopez is averaging 13.1 PPg to make up the scoring in double figures for the Bucks in the postseason up to this point. As a team, Milwaukee is averaging 113 PPG on 47% shooting from the field, 37.5^ from three and 67.9% from the foul line while allowing 111.6 PPG on 50% shooting from the field and 40.8% from the three-point line in the finals.

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Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall. Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite while the over is 19-6-2 in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams.

I get the case that could be made for Milwaukee here as the Bucks have all of the momentum after bucking the trends of the series to win game five and give themselves a chance to close out the series at home. However, this has been a nip and tuck series the whole was and even with game five going to the Bucks, I’m scared to see how Devin Booker will respond. We saw how he improved after that bad game earlier in the series, I shudder to think what’ll happen knowing that he has to make amends for that turnover late in game five that cost his team the series lead. Either way, I think this is going to be a dogfight and we’re going to feel pretty good about having the points in our pocket in the final second.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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