Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks - 7/11/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks - 7/11/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks (58-33) vs Phoenix Suns (65-25)

Game Info: Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -4 -- Over/Under: 222 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in game 3 of the NBA Finals at the Fiserv Forum. The Suns look for another win to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. The Bucks need a win here to have any real shot of winning this series.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 109.9 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 102.4 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 27.2 points and 4.9 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 19.3 points and 3.9 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.9 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 109.5 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 105.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points and 12.9 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 23.1 points and 5.2 assists. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.3 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.5 rebounds per game.

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The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 overall. The Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

The Bucks should be the favorite, as you're going to get their best effort with them at home and being down 0-2 in the series. However, the Bucks role players are hard to trust, and they lost game 1 while shooting well from three and then lost game 2 while getting the game of Giannis' life. As I've said time and time again, the Suns have been the most consistent team throughout these playoffs and there's no reason to bet against them. I'm not turning down free points with the Suns. 

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Randy’s Pick Phoenix Suns +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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