Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns - 7/6/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns - 7/6/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Phoenix Suns (63-25) vs Milwaukee Bucks (58-31)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 9:00 pm (Phoenix Suns Arena)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -5.5 -- Over/Under: 218 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns meet Tuesday in game 1 of the NBA Finals at the Phoenix Suns Arena. The Bucks are coming off a six-game series against the Hawks. The Suns are fresh off a six-game series against the Clippers.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 109.8 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 103.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.2 points and 12.7 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 23.4 points and 5.1 assists. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 31.1 percent from beyond the arc and 71.3 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.9 rebounds per game.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 108.9 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 101.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 27 points and 4.8 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 18.1 points and 3.9 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 86.2 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.  

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The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Suns are 34-16 ATS in their last 50 home games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Bucks last 5 Tuesday games. The over is 14-6 in Suns last 20 games as a favorite. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

I'm still not sure what to make of this Bucks team due to the constant hit or miss play. It makes things weirder with Antetokounmpo expected to sit out. The Suns have been the best and most consistent team throughout the playoffs and have covered 10 of their last 13 games. The extended rest also allows guys like CP3 and Booker to heal up their injuries. The Bucks and decent sized chalk is worth a look, but the Suns have been kind to me all playoffs. I'm not stepping in front of them. 

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Randy’s Pick Phoenix Suns -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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