Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks - 7/3/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks - 7/3/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Hawks (51-38) vs Milwaukee Bucks (57-31)

Game Info: Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 8:30 pm (State Farm Arena)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Hawks -2.5 -- Over/Under: 215 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks and the Atlanta Hawks meet in game six of their best of seven Eastern Conference Final in NBA action from State Farm Arena on Saturday.

The Milwaukee Bucks will look to close out the series after taking a 3-2 lead at home with a 123-112 win over the Hawks in game five. Brook Lopez led the way with 33 points on 14 of 18 shooting with 7 rebounds while Khris Middleton had 28 points on 10 of 20 shooting with 13 rebounds and 8 assists for the double-double. Jrue Holiday after 25 points with 3 threes and a team-high 13 assists for his own double-double. Bobby Portis added 22 points to finish off the double-digit scoring for the Bucks in the win with 8 rebounds as well. Giannis Antetokoumpo continues to be sidelined with a hyperextended knee which is big considering he leads the Bucks with 28.2 PPG and 12.7 RPG. Middleton has 22.9 PPG with 8.3 RPG and 4.9 APG while Holiday has 17 PPG with 8.4 APG. Lopez has 13.5 PPG with 6.1 RPG to make up the group of players averaging double figures in scoring in the postseason. As a team, Milwaukee is averaging 112.4 PPG on 48% shooting from the field, 29.3% from three and 68.4% from the foul line while allowing 106.2 PPG on 46.8% shooting from the field and 33.1% from three in their last five games.

The Atlanta Hawks will look to bounce back and force a game seven after their loss to the Bucks last time out. Bogdan Bogdanovic led the way with 28 points on 10 of 22 shooting with 7 threes with 4 assists. John Collins and Danilo Gallinari each had 19 points with Collins adding a team-high 8 rebounds with 3 threes. Lou Williams had 17 points with 5 assists to make up the rest of the scoring in double figures for Atlanta in the loss. Kevin Huerter had a team-high 7 assists while Clint Capela pulled down a team-high 8 rebounds. Trae Young continues to miss time with an injury, but he also remains Atlanta’s leading scorer and assist man with with 29.8 PPG and 9.5 APG. Collins has 13.9 PPG with 8.6 RPG while Bogdanovic has 13.7 PPG. Gallinari has 12.8 PPG and Huerter has 11.4 PPG while Cam Reddish has 10 PPG in three games in the postseason. Clint Capela leads the Hawks in rebounding with 11.3 RPG in the playoffs as well. As a team, Atlanta is averaging 106.2 PPG on 46.8% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 77.8% from the foul line while allowing 112.4 PPG on 48% shooting from the field and 29.3% from three in their last five games.

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Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games. Atlanta is 18-3 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.

I get why the Hawks would be favored here as this series has felt the whole way like a series that would go seven games. However, every time I think that this series is going to zig it zags and what would normally make sense, hasn’t been that way at all over the course of the series. I think even if Trae Young ends up going here, he’s going to be far from 100% and the Bucks are playing the better basketball. All of the pressure seems to be on the Hawks here and as well-coached as they are, you have to wonder if this team can handle that extra pressure. I think the Hawks should be proud of what they’ve accomplished, but I think the Bucks end up closing the deal and move on to the NBA Finals, but I’ll take the free bucket to be safe.

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Chris’s Pick Milwaukee +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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