Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks - 7/1/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks - 7/1/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks (56-31) vs Atlanta Hawks (51-37)

Game Info: Thursday, July 1, 2021 at 8:30 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -2 -- Over/Under: 220.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Hawks and the Milwaukee Bucks meet in game five of their best of seven Eastern Conference finals matchup in NBA action from the Fiserv Forum on Thursday night.

The Atlanta Hawks will look to take a series lead going back home after evening the set up at two wins apiece following a 110-88 win over the Bucks in game four. Lou Williams led the way with 21 points on 7 of 9 shooting with a pair of threes and a team-high 8 assists while Bogdan Bogdanovic came right behind with 20 points on 7 of 19 shooting with 6 threes and 5 assists. Clint Capela and Kevin Huerter each had 15 points with Capela shooting 6 of 7 from the field with 7 rebounds while Huerter had 7 assists. Cam Reddish had 12 points with 5 rebounds and Danilo Gallinari added 10 points to finish off the scoring in double figures for the Hawks in the victory. Trae Young missed the game after getting injured in game three, but still leads the Hawks in scoring and assists with 29.8 PPG and 9.5 APG. John Collins has 13.6 PPG and 8.6 RPG while Bogdanovic and Gallinari each have 12+ PPG. Huerter and Reddish each have 11+ PPG and Capela is averaging a double-double per game with 10.1 PPG and a tea-high 11.5 RPG this season. As a team, Atlanta is averaging 104.4 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 30.6% from three and 78.6% from the foul line while allowing 107 PPG on 46.4% shooting from the field and 29.5% from three in their last five games.

The Milwaukee Bucks will look to bounce back after dropping game four last time out. Jrue Holiday led the Bucks with 19 points on 6 of 17 shooting with a team-high 9 assists while Khris Middleton had 16 points with a team-high 8 rebounds and 5 assists. Giannis Antetokoumpo had 14 points with 8 rebounds of his own, but left in the 3rd quarter with a hyperextended knee. The trio made up the double-digit scorers for the Bucks in the losing effort. Antetokoumpo’s injury will leave him out of the lineup indefinitely, which is big considering he leads the Bucks in scoring and rebounding, averaging a double-double per game with 28.2 PPG and 12.7 RPG. Middleton has 22.7 PPG with 7.9 RPG and Jrue Holiday has 16.5 PPG and a team-high 8.1 APG. Brook Lopez has 12.2 PPG and 6. RPG to make up the group of double-digit scorers in the postseason for Milwaukee. As a team, Milwaukee is averaging 110.8 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 31.5% from three and 67% from the foul line while allowing 106 PPG on 47% shooting from the field and 31.3% from three in their last five games.

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Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference finals games while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record while the under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

It’s going to be interesting to see how things shake out with no Giannis and I’m not sure Trae Young’s going to be at 100% even after resting for game four. With that said, the Bucks still had a healthy Giannis for the first half of that game and were thoroughly outplayed by the Hawks with the Greek Freak on the floor. Khris Middleton is still there and the Bucks do have some key pieces, but no Giannis is going to be tough to adapt to on such a quick turnaround. Even if Young isn’t at 100%, I think it’s better than not having him on the floor at all. I think the Hawks win this game, but I’ll take the free bucket to be safe.  

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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