Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns - 6/7/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns - 6/7/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Phoenix Suns (55-23) vs Denver Nuggets (51-27)

Game Info: Monday, June 7, 2021 at 10:00 pm (Phoenix Suns Arena)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -4.5 -- Over/Under: 219.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns meet Monday in game one of the NBA Playoffs Second Round at the Phoenix Suns Arena. The Nuggets are coming off a six-game series with the Trail Blazers. The Suns are fresh off a six-game series with the Lakers.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 33 points and 10.5 rebounds while Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 18.8 points and 6.7 rebounds. Monte Morris is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 40.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 41.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 104 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 97.5 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 29.7 points and five assists while Deandre Ayton is averaging 15.8 points and 10.7 rebounds. Cameron Payne is the third double-digit scorer and Jae Crowder is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 83.9 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

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The Nuggets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Monday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 overall. The under is 4-1-1 in Suns last 6 overall. The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Phoenix and 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.

The Suns should be favored at home and they're actually my pick right now to come out of the West. However, the Nuggets are too good to turn down a decent amount of free points. The Nuggets have been cooking offensively in these playoffs and that should continue. The Nuggets have also won eight of the last 10 meetings against the Suns, including two road overtime wins back in January. I like the Suns to win this series, but I can't leave this many free points on the table with the Nuggets.

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Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets +4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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