Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat - 5/27/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat - 5/27/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Mark Hoffman via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Miami Heat (40-34) vs Milwaukee Bucks (48-26)

Game Info: Thursday, May 27, 2021 at 7:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +1.5 -- Over/Under: 227.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Milwaukee Bucks will be looking to take a commanding 3-0 series lead against the Miami Heat at the American Airlines Arena in Game 3 on Thursday night.

The Milwaukee Bucks survived a real scare in the series opener, but they must be feeling pretty good about themselves now after taking a 2-0 series lead with a dominant 132-98 win over the Heat in Game 2 on Monday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 31 points, 13 rebounds and six assists, Bryn Forbes added 22 points off the bench, Khris Middleton scored 17 points while Jrue Holiday chipped in with 11 points, seven rebounds and 15 assists. As a team, the Bucks shot just 40 percent from the field and eight of 28 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates to an early 28-point lead before the end of the first quarter.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat will be going back to the drawing board after getting ambushed by the Bucks in Game 2 on Monday. Dwayne Dedmon led the team in scoring with 19 points off the bench, Goran Dragic added 18 points, Bam Adebayo scored 16 points while Duncan Robinson scored just 10 points. As a team, the Heat shot just 40 percent from the field and eight of 28 from the 3-point line, but they didn’t match the intensity of the Bucks from the tipoff and got burned as they were never in the contest after getting outscored by 46-20 in the first quarter. Jimmy Butler had a quiet game of just 10 points on four of 10 shooting, while Kendrick Nunn scored just nine points on four of 14 shooting.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600 and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Head to head, the under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings overall and the Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami.

The Bucks were a little lucky to get the win in Game 1, but they didn’t need any luck in Game 2 as they dominated right from the start and just didn’t let off. The series now shifts to Miami and you just know this well-coached team is going to respond with a much better effort to avoid falling into a 3-0 series hole. The Bucks had it all their way on Monday, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and I’m expecting the Heat’s role players to play better at home. With that being said, I’m going with the Heat to make their mark in this series with a narrow win here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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