San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies - 5/19/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies - 5/19/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

Memphis Grizzlies (38-34) vs San Antonio Spurs (33-39)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 19, 2021 at 7:30 pm (FedExForum)

Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies -4 -- Over/Under: 224.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Antonio Spurs and the Memphis Grizzlies duke it out in a Play-in game at the FedExForum on Wednesday night.

The San Antonio Spurs have been in poor form lately and they will be low on confidence after dropping 10 of their last 12 games of the season. DeMar DeRozan led the team with averages of 21.6 points and 6.9 assists per game, Dejounte Murray averaged 15.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game, while Keldon Johnson averaged 12.8 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. As a team, the Spurs averaged 111.1 points per game while shooting 46.2 percent from the field and 35.0 percent from the 3-point line but there was only so far they could go with two of their best players missing the majority of the season in Derrick White and LaMarcus Aldridge.

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies are coming into this one with plenty of momentum as they won six of their last eight games of the regular season to earn themselves a spot in the play-in tournament. Ja Morant led the team with averages of 19.1 points and 7.4 assists per game, Dillon Brooks averaged 17.2 points per game, Jonas Valanciunas averaged 17.1 points and 8.4 rebounds per game while Kyle Anderson averaged 12.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. As a team, the Grizzlies scored 111.3 points per game while shooting 46.7 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from the 3-point line. Jaren Jackson Jr. missed all but 11 games this season, but he could play a key role in this matchup against the shorthanded Spurs.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Spurs are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 road games, 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on two days’ rest. The Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Memphis and the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall.

The Spurs are coming into the play-in tournament as the coldest team as they’ve won just two of their last 12 games overall and I’m not sure how confident they can be against a Grizzlies team who have beaten them by double-digits in the last two meetings. DeRozan needs to have a massive game while other players like Johnson and Mills have to chip in, but I don’t think it will be enough against the Grizzlies at home where they’re currently riding a four-game win streak.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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