Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks - 3/3/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks - 3/3/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (17-16) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (14-20)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 3, 2021 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -8.5 -- Over/Under: 222 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Fox Sports Southwest, Fox Sports Oklahoma Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center.

The Oklahoma City Thunder need a win here after losing five of their last eight games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 106.7 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.4 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 23.2 points and 5.3 rebounds while Al Horford is averaging 14.2 points and 6.8 rebounds. Luguentz Dort is the third double-digit scorer and Ty Jerome is grabbing three rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a win after winning nine of their last 12 games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 112.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 113.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.6 points and nine assists while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 20.2 points and 8.1 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Josh Richardson is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

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The Thunder are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Thunder last 10 overall. The under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 overall. The Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

The Oklahoma City Thunder can get smoked off the floor some nights and the Mavericks are playing their best ball of the season. However, OKC is 12-5 against the spread on the road while the Mavs are 5-11 against the spread at home. The Dallas Mavericks lose at home by an average of 2.9 points. This is a lot of points to leave on the table. I'll back the Thunder in this spot.

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Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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