Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder - 2/22/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder - 2/22/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma City Thunder (11-18) vs Miami Heat (13-17)

Game Info: Monday, February 22, 2021 at 9:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder +5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder play host to the Miami Heat at the Chesapeake Energy Center on Monday night.

The Miami Heat have been in solid form lately as they’ve won six of their past nine games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the shorthanded Lakers in a 96-94 road win on Saturday. Kendrick Nunn led the team in scoring with 27 points on 10 of 14 shooting, Jimmy Butler added 24 points with eight rebounds and five assists while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 16 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Heat shot just 42 percent from the field and eight of 28 from the 3-point line as they got off to a quick start with 36 points in the first quarter to lead by as many as 15 points, before holding on for the narrow win as Butler drained the free throws to seal the win with 12.4 seconds remaining.

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been in rough shape as they’ve lost six of their past eight games, but they will be aiming to build some momentum after blowing past the struggling Cavaliers in a 117-101 road win on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 31 points and nine assists, Al Horford added 16 points while Hamidou Diallo chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Thunder shot 54 percent from the field and 13 of 28 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 62 points in the first half, before pulling away in the fourth quarter to lead by as many as 20 points in a one-sided affair.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games against a team with a losing record, 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games against a team below .400 and 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games playing on one days’ rest. The Thunder are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on zero days’ rest and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a road record below .400.

Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings overall.

The Heat are building some nice momentum and they will take plenty of confidence from their tough win over the Lakers in their last outing while the Thunder were struggling mightily before taking down the slumping Cavaliers on Sunday. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Thunder pull off the upset here, but they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on zero days’ rest and I think they’re just catching the Heat at the wrong time. I’m taking Miami to maintain their momentum with another win and cover here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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