Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat - 1/28/21 NBA Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat - 1/28/21 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (6-10) vs Los Angeles Clippers (13-5)

Game Info: Thursday, January 28, 2021 at 8:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -4.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Heat play host to the Los Angeles Clippers at the American Airlines Arena on Thursday night.

The Los Angeles Clippers have been in great form this season as they’ve won 13 of their first 18 games, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their seven-game win streak halted by the Hawks in a 108-99 road loss on Tuesday. Reggie Jackson led the team with 20 points, seven rebounds and eight assists, Serge Ibaka added 15 points with three blocks while Luke Kennard and Ivica Zubac each scored 13 points. As a team, the Clippers shot just 40 percent from the field and eight of 26 from the 3-point line as they took the lead at halftime, before going cold in the second half where they were outscored by 65-51. Lou Williams scored just 11 points on four of 14 shooting while Nicolas Batum scored just five points on two of seven shooting as the Clippers struggled to pick up the slack for Kawhi Leonard and Paul George who were both sitting out due to covid precautions.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have really been struggling with injuries lately and it’s a big reason why they’ve now lost seven of their past nine games after last night’s 109-82 loss to the Nuggets. Kendrick Nunn led the team in scoring with 17 points, Bam Adebayo added 15 points with seven rebounds and six assists while Precious Achiuwa chipped in with 10 points and two blocks off the bench, but no other player finished in double figures. As a team, the Heat shot a miserly 37 percent from the field and 13 of 45 from the 3-point line as they struggled right from the tipoff and quickly found themselves trailing by 25 points at halftime after scoring just 12 points in the first quarter.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Clippers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on zero days rest, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a winning road record.

Head to head, the under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings overall, the Clippers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and the Clippers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Miami.

The Heat will likely have Goran Dragic back on the court as he was close to suiting up last night, while the Clippers will still be without Patrick Beverley, Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. I’m tempted to take the Heat against the undermanned Clippers, but it might be too much to ask a team playing on zero days rest. I’m taking the Clippers with the points in what should be a low-scoring game.


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Peter’s Pick Los Angeles +4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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