Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals Game 5 Picks and Prediction 10/9/20

Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals Game 5 Picks and Prediction 10/9/20 Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Lakers (67-23) vs Miami Heat (57-35)

Game Info: Friday, October 9, 2020 at 9:00 pm (AdventHealth Arena)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Lakers -7 -- Over/Under: 216 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers meet Friday in game five of the NBA Finals at the AdventHealth Arena.      

The Miami Heat need a victory here to save their season and force a game six on Sunday. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.1 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.1 points and 6.2 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 19.9 points and 4.6 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing 3.7 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 83 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game.

The Los Angeles Lakers will win their first NBA title since 2009-10 with a victory here. The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 113.4 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 106.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 28.2 points and 9.3 rebounds while LeBron James is averaging 26.9 points and 8.8 assists. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

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The Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games. The over is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall. The over is 7-3 in Lakers last 10 Friday games. The under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

The last two games of this series came down to the wire and the Heat could be more in this series if they actually rebounded or made an open shot. Still, the Heat have been on the right side of the number more times than not, and we should see their best effort here with their season on the line. I also see a better Adebayo in this contest with the extra day off to kind of get his feet under him. If the Heat knock down their open outside shots at even a season average, they have a shot to force a game six. Either way, this feels like too many points in a do or die game. Give me the Heat and the points.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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