Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat NBA Finals Picks and Predictions 10/6/20

Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat NBA Finals Picks and Predictions 10/6/20 Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (57-34) vs Los Angeles Lakers (66-23)

Game Info: Tuesday, October 6, 2020 at 9:00 pm (AdventHealth Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +7.5 -- Over/Under: 218.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in game four of the NBA Finals at the AdventHealth Arena.  

The Los Angeles Lakers have another chance to take control of this series with a victory here and a 3-1 lead. The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 114.1 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 28.5 points and 9.3 rebounds while LeBron James is averaging 26.9 points and 8.8 assists. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is grabbing two rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat look for back-to-back victories to even up this series at 2-2. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.1 points and 5.9 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 19.9 points and 4.6 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing 3.7 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

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The Lakers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 overall. The over is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall. The Lakers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Miami. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Jimmy Butler is coming off one of the best final performances in NBA history, and the Heat finally showed some heart defensively and found a way to control the glass a bit. You can't expect Butler to match the stat line he had in game three, but you can be encouraged by the game plan the Heat had. Bam Adebayo was also close to returning for game three, so you have to assume he'll be ready to return for this contest. If he does, this is very much a series and the Heat could win this game outright. 

Give me the Heat and the points.

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat 2020 NBA Finals Game 4 Pick & Prediction 10/6/20

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