Boston Celtics at Miami Heat - 9/23/20 NBA Picks and Prediction
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Boston Celtics (57-29) at Miami Heat (54-31)
NBA Basketball: Wednesday, September 23, 2020 at 8:30 pm (AdventHealth Arena)
The Line: Miami Heat +3 -- Over/Under: 210.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet Wednesday in game four of the Eastern Conference Finals NBA playoffs at the AdventHealth Arena.
The Miami Heat have a chance to take full control of this series with a victory and a 3-1 lead. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 105.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging 21.3 points and 4.7 assists while Jimmy Butler is averaging 20.6 points and 5.6 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing four assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
The Boston Celtics look for back-to-back victories to even up this series at 2-2. The Boston Celtics are averaging 108.3 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 102.1 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.3 points and 10.3 rebounds while Jaylen Brown is averaging 21.1 points and 2.2 assists. Kemba Walker is the third double-digit scorer and Marcus Smart is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
The Celtics are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite, 34-14-4 ATS in their last 52 Wednesday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Conference Finals games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The under is 12-4 in Celtics last 16 overall. The over is 10-1 in Heat last 11 Wednesday games. The Celtics are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Miami.
The Boston Celtics have built big first half leads in every game of this series and nearly gave them all away, as the Heat made in a big comeback in game three as well before falling a bit short. The Miami Heat have spent the break talking a lot about getting off to quicker starts and playing with more intensity. I had the Heat winning this series from the start and said I'd be backing them every game in the underdog role. No reason to back out now. The Heat have the lead in this series and have yet to play to their full potential, and they've shown they can erase big leads quickly. The Heat are the deeper team and that usually plays a role the longer a series goes.
Give me the Heat and the free bucket.