Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers - 9/18/20 NBA Picks and Prediction

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers - 9/18/20 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Nuggets (54-33) at Los Angeles Lakers (60-21)

NBA Basketball: Friday, September 18, 2020 at 9:00 pm (AdventHealth Arena)

The Line: Los Angeles Lakers -7 -- Over/Under: 211 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers meet Friday in game one of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the AdventHealth Arena.

The Denver Nuggets are coming off a seven-game series victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 106.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 108.3 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 27.1 points and 6.4 assists while Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.4 points and 10.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Jerami Grant is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

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The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t played in six days and are coming off a five-game series win over the Houston Rockets. The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 114.1 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.2 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 27.6 points and 10.9 rebounds while LeBron James is averaging 26.6 points and 8.8 assists. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Rajon Rondo is dishing seven assists. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.7 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.9 rebounds per game.

The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 6-0-2 in Nuggets last 8 overall. The under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 overall. The Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles and 19-9 ATS in the last 28 meetings. The over is 20-7-2 in the last 29 meetings.

When the Nuggets and Lakers met about a month ago in the bubble, the Lakers won by three points as 5.5-point underdogs. When the Nuggets and Lakers met in February, the game needed overtime to be decided. The Denver Nuggets have shown they can hang around with the Lakers, and they enter this series with a better offense and better depth. The Los Angeles Lakers obviously have the best two players in this series, have the rest advantage and should be favored, but I've liked these Nuggets since the beginning of the playoffs and we've been siding with them in the underdog role a lot and it's worked out up to this point. I'm taking the points with the Nuggets. 

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Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets +7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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