Miami Heat at Boston Celtics - 9/17/20 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics - 9/17/20 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (53-30) at Boston Celtics (56-28)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, September 17, 2020 at 7:00 pm (AdventHealth Arena)

The Line: Boston Celtics -2.5 -- Over/Under: 208.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Celtics look to bounce back against the Miami Heat in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals at the AdventHealth Arena on Thursday night.

The Miami Heat will be aiming to take a 2-0 series lead after outlasting the Celtics in a thrilling 117-114 overtime win in Game 1. Goran Dragic had the hot hand early as he led the way with 29 points, seven rebounds and four assists, Jae Crowder drained five 3-pointers to finish with 22 points, Jimmy Butler scored 20 points with five assists while Bam Adebayo racked up 18 points with six rebounds, nine assists and two blocks. As a team, the Heat shot 47 percent from the field and a healthy 16 of 36 from the 3-point line as they fell behind by as many as 14 points before going into overtime where Butler delivered with a clutch basket and foul to give the Heat the lead with 12 seconds remaining, before Adebayo sealed the win with a block on a game-tying dunk from Jayson Tatum with 3.7 seconds remaining.

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Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics will be feeling like they let a game slip as they looked to be in full control of the Heat going into the fourth quarter. Jayson Tatum led the team in scoring with 30 points, 14 rebounds and five assists, Marcus Smart drained six 3-pointers on his way to 26 points, Kemba Walker added 19 points with six assists while Jaylen Brown chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Celtics shot 44 percent from the field and 15 of 42 from the 3-point line which looked to be good enough to get over the line, but the bottom line is that Tatum had a total of three shots to win or force overtime and he missed all three. Walker made a clutch shot but overall he had a poor shooting night as he made just six of 19 from the field and one of nine from the 3-point line.

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a win, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team above .600, 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Head to head, the under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings overall, the Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston and the Heat are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall.

The Heat will be delighted with their performance in Game 1 as it was a complete team effort with multiple players making clutch plays down the stretch, while the Celtics will be rueing their missed opportunities after squandering a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter. The Heat looked fluent on offense as they regularly burned the Celtics with aggressive cuts and backdoor plays and they will love that they sealed the win on the defensive end thanks to a clutch block from Adebayo. I want to go with the Celtics to bounce back here and square up the series, but the Heat have barely put a foot wrong in these playoffs and they represent decent value as the slight underdogs here. I’m going with the Heat to pull off the minor upset.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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