Miami Heat at Boston Celtics - 9/15/20 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics - 9/15/20 NBA Picks and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat (52-30) at Boston Celtics (56-27)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 6:30 pm (HP Field House)

The Line: Boston Celtics -1.5 -- Over/Under: 210 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet Tuesday in game one of the Eastern Conference NBA playoffs at the HP Field House.

The Miami Heat haven’t played in a week and are coming off a five-game series win over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.1 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 103.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.8 points and 5.6 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 21.1 points and 4.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Herro is dishing 3.3 assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

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The Boston Celtics will play for the first time since Friday and are coming off a seven-game series win over the Toronto Raptors. The Boston Celtics are averaging 107.6 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 100 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.3 points and 10.1 rebounds while Jaylen Brown is averaging 21 points and two assists. Kemba Walker is the third double-digit scorer and Marcus Smart is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 30.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game. 

The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 overall. The under is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 overall. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Boston.

The Boston Celtics may have more household names on their roster, but the Miami Heat are the better, deeper team in this series. The Heat have the better bench, better shooting and the better coach. The additions of Andre Iguodala and Jae Crowder also give the Heat more wings to defend the Celtics scorers more effectively. Also, when the Heat and Celtics met in the bubble more than a month ago, the Heat won by six without Jimmy Butler despite being five-point underdogs. We also can't ignore the Celtics needed seven games to beat a Raptors squad that got nothing out of Pascal Siakam. Just like the Bucks - Heat, I have Miami winning this series, so I'll be backing them in every game, especially in the underdog role. 

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Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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