Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers - 9/15/20 NBA Picks and Prediction
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Denver Nuggets (53-33) at Los Angeles Clippers (56-28)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 9:00 pm (AdventHealth Arena)
The Line: Los Angeles Clippers -7 -- Over/Under: 207 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Clippers duke it out in Game 7 of the West Semifinals at the AdventHealth Arena on Tuesday night.
The Denver Nuggets have looked down and out multiple times in this series, but they just refuse to go away and suddenly find themselves just one win away from a Conference Finals berth after beating the Clippers by 111-98 in Game 6. Nikola Jokic led the team with 34 points, 14 rebounds and seven assists, Jamal Murray added 21 points with five assists while Gary Harris chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 12 of 25 from the 3-point line as they fell behind by as many as 19 points, before rallying in the second half where they outscored the Clippers by 64-35 to win easily in the end. Michael Porter Jr. scored 13 points off the bench while Paul Millsap finished with just six points after his heroics in Game 5.
Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Clippers will be feeling the pressure now that they are just one loss away from a shock playoff exit. Paul George led the team with 33 points, six rebounds, three assists and five steals, Kawhi Leonard added 25 points with eight rebounds and five assists, Lou Williams scored 14 points while Jeff Green chipped in with 11 points but no other player scored more that five points. As a team, the Clippers shot just 41 percent from the field and 10 of 27 from the 3-point line as they absolutely dominated the Nuggets in the first half, but they took their foot off the gas in the second half and got burned for the second straight game. Marcus Morris Sr. and Montrezl Harrell each scored five points while Landry Shamet finished with just one point in 20 minutes off the bench.
Looking at the betting trends, the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games following a win and 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The Clippers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss, 1-4 ATS in their last five Conference Semifinals games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
Head to head, the under is 41-18-2 in the last 62 meetings overall and the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall.
The Clippers clearly have the deeper and more talented roster compared to the Nuggets, but they haven’t been able to seal the deal and suddenly find themselves battling for their season. The Nuggets were always the big underdog in this series, but they hold all the momentum with two straight wins and they will be playing with house money. I know all the pressure is on the Clippers who were expected to walk through the young Nuggets after taking a 3-1 series lead and it’s hard to back a team that blows massive leads in consecutive games, but I think they bounce back with the win and cover behind a big game from Leonard.