Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks - 12/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks - 12/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (20-10) at Golden State Warriors (9-24)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, December 28, 2019 at 8:30 pm (Chase Center)

The Line: Golden State Warriors +11 -- Over/Under: 219 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors meet Saturday in NBA action at the Chase Center.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 108.5 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 29.3 points and 8.9 assists while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 17.6 points and 9.6 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Seth Curry is dishing 1.9 assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won five of their last six road games.

The Golden State Warriors look for another win to build on their four-game winning streak. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 105.3 points on 43.1 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 47 percent shooting. D'Angelo Russell is averaging 22.3 points and 6.1 assists while Alec Burks is averaging 15.6 points and 4.6 rebounds. Eric Paschall is the third double-digit scorer and Glenn Robinson III is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 38.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won four straight home games.

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The Mavericks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. The over is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 road games. The over is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

The Dallas Mavericks should be able to get whatever they want offensively against a bad Golden State defense that's on the end of a back to back. The over has also been a dominant trend with the Mavs on the road lately. When these teams met back in November, the Dallas Mavericks scored 142 points on 57 percent shooting from the field. Instead of playing with double-digit chalk, I'll take the over on the reasonable total. 

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks 12/28/19 Free NBA Pick and Prediction NBA Betting Tips

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