Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks - 11/9/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks - 11/9/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (5-3) at Memphis Grizzlies (2-6)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 8:00 pm (FedExForum)

The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 -- Over/Under: 219

TV: FSSE, FSSW

The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies meet Saturday in NBA action at the FedExForum.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115.3 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 111.3 points on 46 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 26.7 points and 9.1 assists while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 19 points and 8.1 rebounds. J.J. Barea is the third double-digit scorer and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.3 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won all three road games this season.

The Memphis Grizzlies need a win after losing four of their last five games. The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 110 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 117.9 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 20.4 points and 5.3 assists while Dillon Brooks is averaging 15.1 points and four rebounds. Jonas Valanciunas is the third double-digit scorer and Brandon Clarke is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 29.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.1 rebounds per game. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost three of their first five home games.

The Mavericks are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games. The Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 0 days rest. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The under is 5-2-1 in Mavericks last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The over is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 overall.

I'm not running to the window to back a Dallas Mavericks team that played like garbage last night and lost to the Knicks as double-digit home favorites. The Mavs were horrible with their defensive rotations and nobody outside of Luka could score. However, maybe that inspires a bounce back performance to get that nasty taste out of their mouth. The Memphis Grizzlies are extremely limited offensively and very young that creates stretches of bad basketball and allow the opponent to pull away. The Dallas Mavericks should win and cover the reasonable number, but after last night, who knows...

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.