Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets - 10/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets - 10/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Nuggets (2-0) at Sacramento Kings (0-3)

NBA Basketball: Monday, October 28, 2019 at 10:00 pm (Golden 1 Center)

The Line: Sacramento Kings +5 -- Over/Under: 219

TV: ALT, NSCA

The Denver Nuggets and Sacramento Kings meet Monday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center.

The Denver Nuggets look for another win to improve to 3-0 on the season. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 108 points on 40.5 percent shooting and allowing 103.5 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 21.5 points and 13.5 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.5 points and 4.5 assists. Will Barton is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Beasley is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 42.4 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 26.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have lost five of their last seven road games.

The Sacramento Kings could use a win here to rebound from a sluggish 0-3 start. The Sacramento Kings are averaging 96 points on 39.6 percent shooting and allowing 119.7 points on 53.3 percent shooting. Buddy Hield is averaging 17.3 points and four rebounds while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 15 points and five assists. Marvin Bagley III is the third double-digit scorer and Harrison Barnes is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 40 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game. The Sacramento Kings have split their last six home games.

The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Sacramento and 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Kings last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The over is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 road games.

The Sacramento Kings have given the Nuggets issues in the past, which includes the last two meetings being decided by a combined six points. And while the Kings are better than what they've shown through three games, their defensive effort from the preseason has carried over to the regular season, and they're getting blasted at both ends of the floor. It's hard to back the Kings with any confidence with the way they're playing right now, especially against one of the top and deepest teams in the league. I'll take the Denver Nuggets and the reasonable chalk. 

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.