Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 10/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 10/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Cavaliers (1-1) at Milwaukee Bucks (1-1)

NBA Basketball: Monday, October 28, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -14.5 -- Over/Under: 222

TV: FSOH, FSWI

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks meet Monday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum.

The Cleveland Cavaliers need a win here to get a game above a .500 record. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 97.5 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 96.5 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Tristan Thompson is averaging 20.5 points and 12 rebounds while Colin Sexton is averaging 17 points and 2.5 assists. Kevin Love is the third double-digit scorer and Jordan Clarkson is grabbing two rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 30.8 percent from beyond the arc and 65.9 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers haven’t won a road game since February 28. 

The Milwaukee Bucks also need a win to get a game above a .500 record. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 121.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 29.5 points and 15 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 18 points and six rebounds. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Ersan Ilyasova is grabbing eight rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 67.9 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won six of their last nine home games.

The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The home team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. The over is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 road games.

These teams are obviously in different brackets talent wise, but I don't like making a habit of laying big numbers, especially this early in the season when guys are still feeling things out. The Cleveland Cavaliers also just beat a good team in the Pacers in the underdog role, so there could be some value with the Cavs moving forward. The Milwaukee Bucks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite, but I'll still take my chances with the boatload of points, especially with the underdogs covering a ton of games to start the season.

Randy’s Pick Cleveland Cavaliers +14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.