Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 - 7/5/20 Driver vs. Driver Matchups and Odds

Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 - 7/5/20 Driver vs. Driver Matchups and Odds Photo by Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400

7/5/2020 4:00 pm EST

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We head to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway on Sunday afternoon for the running of the Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400. IMS is a 2.5 mile flat track in the shape of a rectangle. Indy compares mostly to Pocono Raceway, where the Cup Series competed last weekend. Below, I will reference the last 8 races that have taken place between both Indy and Pocono. We were successful once again at Pocono, and we are up 10.06 units on the year in these matchups.

Here are a few matchups to consider for the Brickyard 400.

 Kyle Busch -115 vs. Denny Hamlin -115

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 Denny has won 5 of the 8 match ups against Kyle in the races mentioned above. The flat 2.5 mile tracks fit Denny’s style really well, and no doubt Kyle has been excellent as well at Indy and Pocono. Over the last 8 races between Pocono and Indy, Hamlin has an average driver rating of 114, while Kyle has an average driver rating of 110.5. The matchup between Denny and Kyle has been close over the last 8 races. At this moment, I feel Denny is a touch faster than Kyle, so I will lean to Denny in this matchup.

Jeff’s Pick: Denny Hamlin -115


 Brad Keselowski -115 vs. Joey Logano -115

Brad has won 6 of the last 8 matchups against Joey at Indy and Pocono Raceway. Brad won the 2018 race at Indy, but wasn’t so lucky in 2019 has he was involved in a crash on lap 48. Joey has run well at Indy over the last 2 races with an average finish of 7.5, but has struggled at Pocono over the last 6 races. The matchup between teammates Keselowski and Logano is closer than the statics tell us on paper. I think Keselowski can finish ahead of Logano at Indy this weekend, but I expect it to be close.

Jeff’s Pick: Brad Keselowski -115


Chase Elliott -115 vs. Martin Truex Jr. -115

Chase has won 5 of the matchups mentioned above, and Truex has won 3. Chase has an average finish of 14th in the races mentioned in the intro, and Truex has an average finish of 17.13. On paper, Truex and Elliott are close at the 2.5 flat tracks. Truex has struggled in the last 2 races at Indy finishing 27th in 2019 and 40th in 2018. Chase has performed way better than Truex at Indy with an average 12th place finish. I will take Chase over Truex at Indy on Sunday

Jeff’s Pick: Chase Elliott -115

Ryan Newman -115 vs. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. -115

Newman has outrun Ricky 6 times over the last 8 races between Indy and Pocono Raceway. Over the last 8 races at Indy/Pocono, Newman has an average finish of 14.25 with 3 top 10s and 4 top 20 finishes. Stenhouse has an average finish of 23.25 with only 3 top 20s in the 8 races mentioned above. Newman and Ricky split Pocono 1 and 1 last weekend, but I still think Newman will prevail. Newman finished 10th at Indy in 2018 and finished 8th in the 2019 race. I will take Newman over Stenhouse.

Jeff’s Pick: Ryan Newman -115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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