UFC 301 Picks - Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo Prediction

Jose Aldo vs Jonathan Martinez

UFC: Saturday, May 4th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Martinez -148 / Aldo +128 -- Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo prediction for this UFC 301 showdown on Saturday, May 4th at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. We will take a look at:

- Jonathan Martinez’s recent form and performance

-Jose Aldo’s recent form and performance

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s fight between Jonathan Martinez and Jose Aldo.

Jonathan Martinez Betting Preview

Jonathan Martinez comes into this fight with a 19-4 record overall and he has won six fights in a row. Martinez’s last fight came against Adrian Yanez in October of 2023 and it was midway through the second round he won by knockout. Two of his last three fights have been win with kicks. Martinez is averaging 4.64 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.76 significant strikes per minute. He also mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.44 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 41 percent of his takedown attempts and stops 69 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts.

Jose Aldo Betting Preview

Jose Aldo is making his return to the UFC octagon for the first time since August of 2022. He has had a couple of boxing matches since then, but he is going to give the UFC another go here. There is no doubt the crowd is going to be on his side in this fight. Aldo’s last fight came against Merab Dvalishvili and he didn’t look good. He was outstruck 57-38 and that led to the defeat. Two fights ago against Rob Font, Aldo was defeated by a unanimous decision. Aldo is averaging 3.57 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.74 significant strikes per minute. He mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.49 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 54 percent of his takedown attempts and stops 91 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts.

Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo prediction

Martinez at times has had head issues and weight issues, both something that could have impacts on this fight. Aldo is going to have a huge advantage with the crowd, and the crowd being against him, is going to really hut Martinez here. The only real thing that concerns me is the couple-year layoff, but I still believe Aldo has what it takes to be a good fighter in the UFC. Aldo is going to get the job done. Back Aldo as an underdog.