UFC 301 Picks - Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg Prediction

Steve Ercerg vs Alexandre Pantoja

UFC: Saturday, May 4th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Pantoja -192 / Erceg +160 -- Over/Under: 3.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate an Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg prediction for this UFC 301 showdown on Saturday, May 4th at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. We will take a look at: 

- Alexandre Pantoja’s recent form and performance

-Steve Erceg’s recent form and performance

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s fight between Alexandre Pantoja and Steve Erceg.

Alexandre Pantoja Betting Preview

Alexandre Pantoja comes into this fight with a 27-5 record and his last two fights have been for the belt. Pantoja’s last fight came against Brandon Royval in December of 2023 and he was able to win by unanimous decision. He was actually outstruck 111-95, but Pantoja had eight takedowns and that was the difference as they were able to secure the win. Pantoja is averaging 4.32 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.90 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 2.20 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 48 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 67 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. There is no doubt in this fight he’s going to try and get the fight to the ground. 

Steve Erceg Betting Preview

On the other side of this matchup is Steve Erceg who sits with a 12-1 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has gone 3-0. Even though he has only three fights under his belt he’s still getting a chance here to fight for the title. Erceg’s last fight came against Matt Schnell and it was 26 seconds into the second round that he was able to win the fight by knockout. He is averaging 4.57 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.64 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.69 takedowns every minutes and he is successful on 30 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 70 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg Prediction

Steve Erceg doesn’t have a ton of experience inside the UFC and he’s going into a tough place to fight, but he’s still going to be the fighter to find success here. Pantoja at times can get sloppy and that’s what is going to hurt him in this fight. Erceg is going to jump out to a fast start here, and he’s going to really put the pressure on with his striking. Pantoja is going to have no answer for it, and Erceg is going to get the job done. Back Erceg on the money line to pull out the victory. 

Shane’s Pick Steve Ercerg ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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