UFC Fight Night 238 Picks - Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Prediction

Shamil Gaziev vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

UFC: Saturday March 2nd at 4:00 PM ET

Gaziev -148 /Rozenstruik+124 // Total Rounds: 1.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Shamil Gaziev face off on Sunday in a heavyweight showdown at UFC Fight Night 238 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. This is a key heavyweight battle that will have implications for the division.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Odds

Gaziev is the favorite sitting at -148 while Rozenstruik is the underdog sitting at +124. // The total Rounds sits at 1.5 rounds with the over paying out at +140.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik Betting Preview

Jairzinho Rozenstruik comes into this game with a 13-5 record overall and he has lost three of his last four fights. Rozenstruik faced off in May of 2023 against Jailton Almeida and it was in the first round that he got caught in a bad position and ended up losing by a rear naked choke. Rozenstruik is averaging 2.81 significant strikes per minute. He wants to keep the fight on the feet and it’s hard to imagine he will be trying a takedown here. He is also stopping 73 percent of his takedown attempts. Rozenstruik is a power puncher who is going to hunt the knockout here.

Shamil Gaziev Betting Preview

Shamil Gaziev comes into this fight with a 12-0 record overall and since coming into the UFC with a 2-0 record overall. In December of 2023, Gaziev faced off against Martin Buday and it was early in the second round that he was able to finish the fight. Gaziev was outstriking Buday 49-8 when he finished the fight. Gaziev is averaging 6.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 0.93 significant strikes per minute. He doesn’t have a takedown in the UFC and he is stopping 100 percent of his takedown attempts. Check out the rest of the fight picks for UFC Fight Night 238 here.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Betting Prediction

This is a big step up in competition for Gaziev and he’s not going to be up for the rest. Rozenstruik might have lost three of his last four fights, but he still has knockout power. Gaziev at times has left himself open to getting hit, and he’s going to struggle here. Rozenstruik is going to start out firing early in this fight and he’s not going to miss the big punches when Gaziev leaves himself exposed. Back Rozenstruik to get the job done on the money line.