UFC 296 Picks - Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington Prediction

Colby Covington vs Leon Edwards

UFC: Saturday, December 16th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Colby Covington +130 / Leon Edwards -155 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Leon Edwards and Colby Covington face off for the welterweight belt in the main event of UFC 296 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.  Let’s look at the betting matchup and give a free Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington prediction.

Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington Betting Odds

Leon Edwards is the favorite sitting at -155 while Colby Covington is the underdog sitting at +130. The total rounds sits at 4.5 rounds with the over paying -195. 

Leon Edwards Betting Preview

Leon Edwards sits with a 21-3-0 record overall and his last two wins have been for the Belt over Kamara Usman. In March against Usman it was a majority decision victory. He outstruck Usman 120-87 in the victory. Edwards is averaging 2.80 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.4 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.26 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 33 percent of his takedown attempts. Edwards can’t let all the talk from Covington get into his head. 

Colby Covington Betting Preview

Covington is getting his shot at the title and if he can’t win this fight, this could be the last chance he ever gets at it. Covington’s last fight came in 2022 against Jorge Masvidal and it was a unanimous decision victory. He had six takedowns in that fight and there was really no doubt that he was going to win the fight. Covington is averaging 4.10 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.05 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and use his wrestling. He is averaging 4.05 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 45 percent of the takedown attempts. In this fight, Covington is going to need to get the fight to the ground and dominate it once he gets there. 

Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington Betting Prediction

If Covington had another fight in the lead up into this, I might have a different idea about who is going to win this fight, but I believe Covington is going to be a bit rusty. Edwards has all kinds of confidence after what he did in the last fight against Usman. Edwards is going to control the center of the octagon and he’s not going to let Covington get whatever he wants on the ground. This is a fight that is probably going to go the distance and it will be Edwards that is going to get the job done. Back Edwards on the money line. 

Shane’s Pick Leon Edwards ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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