UFC on ESPN 32 Picks - Beneil Dariush vs Arman Tsarukyan Prediction

Arman Tsarukyan vs Beneil Dariush

UFC: Saturday, December 2nd at 7:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Arman Tsarukyan -298 / Beneil Dariush +240 -- Over/Under: 3.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Beneil Dariush and Arman Tsarukyan face off on Saturday in a lightweight showdown in the main event of UFC on ESPN 32 at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas. Let’s look at the betting matchup and give a free Beneil Dariush vs Arman Tsarukyan prediction.

Beneil Dariush Betting Preview 

Beneil Dariush comes into this fight with a 22-5-1 record overall and he has won eight of his last nine fights. The big issue for Dariush is that his one loss came in his last fight. In June of 2023 he faced off against Charles Oliveira and it was late in the first round that he was finished by knockout. He was outstruck 26-12 and then he lost by the knockout. In his three previous wins he won by a decision. He is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.63 significant strikes per minute. He likes to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 1.91 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 34 percent of his takedown attempts and he also stops 80 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. 

Arman Tsarukyan Betting Preview 

Arman Tsarukyan comes into this fight with a 20-3 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. His last fight came against Joaquim Silva in June of 2023 and it was midway through the third round that he finished that fight by knockout. It was a dominant fight and he was outstriking Silva 80-23 when he finished the fight. He also had four takedowns. He is averaging 3.82 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.91 significant strikes per minute. He also wants to get the fight to the ground and is averaging 3.43 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 36 percent of his takedown attempts and he stops 75 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. In this fight, if he wants to win I would expect that he’s going to need to get this fight to the ground quickly and once he gets it there, he’s going to need to control the fight. 

Beneil Dariush vs Arman Tsarukyan Prediction 

The odds for this fight are a bit off, and Beneli Dariush is going to get the job done. There is no doubt that Tsarukyan is a good fighter, but Dariush is a really good grappler and he’s going to really step up here with that part of his skills. Even if he gets on the ground. Dariush is going to use his grappling to find success and that is going to be the difference. There is way too much value with Dariush being this big of an underdog. Back Dariush on the money line to cash here. This is one of my favorite under plays of the year. 

Shane’s Pick Beneil Dariush ML +240

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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