UFC Fight Night 232 Picks - Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Prediction

Paul Craig vs Brendan Allen

UFC: Saturday, November 18th at 5:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Paul Craig +350 / Brendan Allen -425 -- Over/Under: 1.5 Rounds Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Brendan Allen and Paul Craig face off on Saturday in the main event in a middleweight showdown at UFC Fight Night 232 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Odds

Allen comes into this game as the fight sitting at -425 while Craig is the underdog sitting +330. The total rounds sits at 1.5 with the over paying out at -125. 

Brendan Allen Betting Preview

Brendan Allen comes into this game with a 22-5 record overall and he has won five fights in a row. On June 24th, Allen faced off against Bruno Silva and it was late in round one that Allen locked in a submission and secured the victory. At the time of the fight Allen was outstriking Silva 30-20 and it was a dominant victory. In Each of the last three fights by Allen have been a submission win and there is no doubt that is going to be how he tries to win this fight. Allen is averaging 3.96 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.89 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.72 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 42 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 55 percent of his opponents' takedown attempts. He is averaging 1.6 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Paul Craig Betting Preview

Paul Craig comes into this game with a 17-6-1 record overall but he has lost two of his last three fights. In Craig’s last fight against Andre Muniz he was able to secure the knockout with his elbows. He was outstriking Muniz 40-24 and he had two takedowns. Two fights ago against Johnny Walker he was knocked out. Craig is averaging 2.57 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.85 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.91 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 23 percent of his takedown 

Shane’s Free Pick

Brendan Allen has been dominating heading into this fight, and the biggest reason is his submission work. He continues to get people in bad positions and finish fights. Craig has been a little bit inconsistent heading into this fight, and at times during his career he has gotten himself in bad positions. Allen is going to Craig in those bad positions and that is going to be the difference as Allen is going to get the job done. Back Allen to win this fight by submission.

Shane’s Pick Allen By Submission

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Wednesday 7/24/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss