UFC Fight Night 231 Picks - Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis Prediction

Derrick Lewis vs Jailton Almeida

UFC: Saturday, November 4th at 9:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Derrick Lewis +370 / Jailton Almeida -485 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Jailton Almeida and Derrick Lewis face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 231 at Birapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil. 

Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis Odds

Almeida is the favorite sitting at -485 while Lewis is the underdog sitting at +370. The total rounds sits at 1.5 rounds with the under sitting at -345. 

Jailton Almeida Betting Trends

Jailton Almeida comes into this fight with a 19-2 record overall and since coming into the UF C he has won six fights in a row. In May he faced off against Jairzinho Rozenstruik and it was in the third round that he locked in a rear naked choke and was able to secure the victory. Almeida is averaging 3.81 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 0.30 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and there is no doubt that’s where he’s going to try and get this fight on the mat. He is averaging 6.4 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 68 percent of them. He is also looks for submission attempts and is averaging 2.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Derrick Lewis Betting Trends

Derrick Lewis is one of the most popular fighters in the UFC, but he won’t be the crowd favorite in this one. Lewis sits with a 27-11 record overall and he had lost three fights in a row before winning his last fight. Lewis faced off against Marcos Rogerio de Lima and in 33 seconds he was able to secure the knockout. Lewis is averaging 2.6 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.59 significant strikes per minute. Lewis knows he’s a knockout arrest but that really is probably his only path to victory here. 

Shane’s Free Pick

You always have to be careful in fights that involve Derrick Lewis because he can knock out anyone at any time, but he also can be gassed early. In this fight Lewis is going to go for the early knockout, but he’s not going to get it, and that is going to be the difference here. Almeida is going to take advantage of a tired Lewis, and he’s going to finish this fight. Back Almeida by finish. 

Shane’s Pick Jailton Almeida by Finish

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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