UFC Fight Night 231 Picks - Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis Prediction

Derrick Lewis vs Jailton Almeida

UFC: Saturday, November 4th at 9:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Derrick Lewis +370 / Jailton Almeida -485 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream unmatched UFC coverage on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Jailton Almeida and Derrick Lewis face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 231 at Birapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil. 

Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis Odds

Almeida is the favorite sitting at -485 while Lewis is the underdog sitting at +370. The total rounds sits at 1.5 rounds with the under sitting at -345. 

Jailton Almeida Betting Trends

Jailton Almeida comes into this fight with a 19-2 record overall and since coming into the UF C he has won six fights in a row. In May he faced off against Jairzinho Rozenstruik and it was in the third round that he locked in a rear naked choke and was able to secure the victory. Almeida is averaging 3.81 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 0.30 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and there is no doubt that’s where he’s going to try and get this fight on the mat. He is averaging 6.4 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 68 percent of them. He is also looks for submission attempts and is averaging 2.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Derrick Lewis Betting Trends

Derrick Lewis is one of the most popular fighters in the UFC, but he won’t be the crowd favorite in this one. Lewis sits with a 27-11 record overall and he had lost three fights in a row before winning his last fight. Lewis faced off against Marcos Rogerio de Lima and in 33 seconds he was able to secure the knockout. Lewis is averaging 2.6 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.59 significant strikes per minute. Lewis knows he’s a knockout arrest but that really is probably his only path to victory here. 

Shane’s Free Pick

You always have to be careful in fights that involve Derrick Lewis because he can knock out anyone at any time, but he also can be gassed early. In this fight Lewis is going to go for the early knockout, but he’s not going to get it, and that is going to be the difference here. Almeida is going to take advantage of a tired Lewis, and he’s going to finish this fight. Back Almeida by finish. 

Shane’s Pick Jailton Almeida by Finish

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA 1st Half & MLB First 5 Inning Picks & Predictions Thursday 5/30/24 | Picks for Every Game Today

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.