UFC 294 Picks - Kamaru Usman vs Khamzet Chimaev Prediction

Khamzet Chimaev vs Kamaru Usman

UFC: Saturday, October 21st at 2:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Khamzet Chimaev -340 / Kamaru Usman +270 -- Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Kamara Usman and Khamzet Chimaev face off in a middleweight showdown for the co-main event of UFC 294 at Etihad Arena on the Yas Island. 

Kamaru Usman vs Khamzet Chimaev Odds

Kamaru Usman is the underdog sitting at +270 while Khamzet Chimaev is the favoritte sitting at -340. The total rounds sits at 2.5 with the over paying out at +120. 

Kamaru Usman Betting Preview

Kamara Usman is fighting on short notice and only found out ten days ago that he would be fighting here. Kamaru Usman comes into this fight with a 20-3 record overall but he has lost two fights in a row. Two fights ago, Usman lost to Leon Edwards and in his last fight against Edwards he lost by majority decision. Edwards outstruck Usman 120-87, but Usman did have four takedowns in that fight. Usman is averaging 4.46 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.75 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 2.96 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 45 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 97 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Khamzet Chimaev Betting Preview

Khamzet Chimaev comes into this fight with a 12-0 record and now he now gets his shot at the title. Chimaev is averaging 7.30 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.98 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 3.98 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 57 percent of his takedown attempts and he is also stopping 100 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. He also likes to lock in submissions and is averaging 3.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Shane’s Free Pick

I think there is value here with Usman here as the underdog, even on short notice. Usman is an elite wrestler who is going to be able to go toe to toe with Chimaev. He is also an experienced fighter and the only two losses came against Gilbert Burns. Not many are giving Usman much of a shot in this fight, but I think he will get the job done. Back Usman to pull the upset. 

Shane’s Pick Kamaru Usman ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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