UFC Fight Night 229 Picks - Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green Prediction

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Grant Dawson and Bobby Greene face off on Saturday in a lightweight showdown in the main event of UFC Fight Night at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green Odds

Grant Dawson is the favorite sitting at -455 while Bobby Green is the underdog sitting at +350. The total rounds sits at 4.5 with the over paying out at +175. 

Grant Dawson Betting Preview

Grant Dawson comes into this fight with a 20-1-1 record and since coming into the UFC he has won nine fights and played to one draw. On July 1st, Dawson faced off against Damir Ismagulov and he was able to win by unanimous decision. Dawson outstruck his opponent 30-13 and he has had three takedowns in that fight. In the two wins before the last fight, Dawson was able to win by submission. Dawson is averaging 2.99 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.22 significant strikes per minute. He wants to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 3.70 takedowns every 15 minutes. He stops 40 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Bobby Green Betting Preview

Bobby Green comes into this fight with a 30-14-1 record but he only has one win in his last four fights. During that stretch he has one win, one no contest and two losses. Green’s last fight came against Tony Ferguson and it was late in the third round that he was able to lock in an arm triangle and secure the victory. At the time the fight finished he was outstriking Ferguson 137-54. Green is averaging 6.14 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.67 significant strikes per minute. He is stopping 74 percent of his opponents takedown attempts and that is going to be a key here. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Green has a ton of power in his hands, but Dawon can avoid that. Dawson is going to find a way to get the fight to the ground and he’s going to really put on a show once he gets there. Green is 37 years old and as the fight goes on, he’s going to be worn down. I don’t think Dawson is going to get the finish here, but Dawson is going to dominate the fight. This will be a dominant victory. Back Dawson to win by decision. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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