UFC Fight Night 227 Picks - Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko Prediction

Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso

UFC: Saturday, September 16th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Alexa Grasso +142 Valentina Shevchenko -170 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Alexa Grasso and Valentina Shevchenko face off on Saturday for the women’s flyweight belt in the main event of UFC Fight Night 227. 

These two fighters faced off on March 4th and it was Alexa Grasso that waas able to lock in a rear naked choke and secure the victory. At that point of the fight, Shevchenko was outstriking Grasso 87-59. 

Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko Betting Odds

Valentina Shevchenko is the favorite sitting at -170 while Alexa Grasso is the underdog sitting at +142. The total rounds sits at 4.5 with the over paying out -17.5

Alexa Grasso Betting Preview

Alexa Grasso comes into this fight with a 16-3 record overall and now she’s in a situation where she tries to defend her title. Grasso has won five fights in a row, two coming by submission and the other three by decision. In October of 2022, she faced off against Viviane Araujo and she was able to win by decision victory. Grasso is averaging 4.88 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.07 significant strikes per minute. She is averaging 0.38 takedowns every 15 minutes while shooting and is successful on 44 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 61 percent of his opponent's takedown attempts. 

Valentina Shevchenko Betting Preview

Valentina Shevchenko comes into this fight with a 23-4 record overall, but she is coming off a shocking loss in their last fight. Before she gave up her back, it looked like she was about to lock up another title, but one bad move and her run came to an end. Before that last loss, Shevchenko had won nine fights in a row. Shevchenko is averaging 3.29 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.99 significant strikes per minute. She is averaging 2.57 takedowns every 15 minutes and she is successful on 64 percent of her opponents takedown attempts. She also stops 72 percent of her opponents' takedown attempts. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Shevchenko is going to fight a much more reserved fight and she’s going to do everything in her power to not put herself in a bad position. When she fights against fighters that could finish her, she likes to be more patient, and that’s exactly what she will do here. I am not sure who is going to win this fight, but I do know that neither of these fighters will get the finish. Back this fight to go the distance. 

Shane’s Pick Fight to go the Distance

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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