UFC Fight Night 226 Picks - Sergey Spivak vs Ciryl Gane Prediction

Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak

UFC: Saturday, September 2nd at 3:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: Ciryl Gane -185 / Sergey Spivak +154 -- Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds Click Here for the Latest Odds

Ciryl Gane and Sergey Spivak face off on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 226 at the Accor Arena in Paris France.

Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak Odds

Ciryl Gane is the favorite sitting at -185 while Sergey Spivak is the underdog sitting at +154. The total round sits at 2.5 rounds with the over paying out +124.

Ciryl Gane Betting Preview

Ciryl Gane comes into this fight with an 11-2 record but those two losses have come in his last three fights. In March Gane faced off against Jon Jones and he lost a little over two minutes in by submission. The only win to come during that stretch came against Tai Tuivasa in September of last year and he won that fight by knockout late in the third round. Gane is averaging 5.08 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.25 significant strikes per minute. Gane is averaging 0.61 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 21 percent of his attempts. He also stops 45 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. Gane is averaging 0.5 submission attempts every 15 minutes.

Sergey Spivak Betting Preview

Sergey Spivak comes into this fight with a 16-3 record overall and he has won three fights in a row. In February of 2023, Spivak faced off against Derrick Lewis and it was a little over three minutes into the first round that he was able to lock in an arm triangle and secure the victory. Spivak is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.84 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 5.05 takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful on 65 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 70 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. Spivak averages 0.6 submission attempts every 15 minutes.

Shane’s Free Pick

This fight is all going to come down to how well Gane can slow down the takedown attempts of Spivak. Gane is going to use his knees to try and really put the pressure on Spivak every time he comes in for a takedown attempts and he’s going to find success here. Gane has the power, and he’s going to make Spivak pay every time he comes in to try and control the fight. Gane might not get the finish but he’s going to get the win. Back Gane on the money line.